Jul 17, 2022
In Welcome to the Forum
Assumed was that the votes went to Phone Number List or null, given what we know about the internal composition of Pérez's votes in the first round (more than a fifth of them came from Quito and the province of Azuay), and, above all, given the informed intuitions Phone Number List we had in this regard. Azuay, traditionally a stronghold of and where Pérez had his best electoral performance in the first round of 2021, helps illustrate the argument more clearly. obtained 21% in the Phone Number List first round, 23 points less than what Moreno achieved in 2017. The reasons are obvious: in Azuay, Pérez Phone Number List obtained 42% (, by the way, reached 15%), and Lasso achieved 14% (less than half of the 32% that it reached in 2017 in the same province). In other words, the votes of the strong bastion of in the southern Sierra escaped in the direction of Pérez. In the absence of Pérez in the Phone Number List second round, Was it not Phone Number List reasonable to suppose that the majority of the partition of those Pérez votes –we underline “majority”– would “return” to inertia or would become null, as the candidate promoted? What was Phone Number List unreasonable, given Azuay's trajectory and the rest of the informed intuitions. Was to assume that in Pérez's absence, the majority Phone Number List of those votes would go to Lasso. This is the intuitive explanation of the notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." most of those votes would go to Lasso. This is the intuitive explanation of the notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." most of those votes would go to Lasso. This is Phone Number List the intuitive explanation of the notion of "general trend" or "reasonable expectation." In the second round, Lasso obtained 187,000 votes in Azuay. It is up for discussion whether or not that is Phone Number List exactly what he "had" to.